Boston Rent Decreases 1.6% in October Compared to September Home Prices - Boston - 1

Boston's rent dropped by 1.6% during the month of October. This is according to the November Boston Rent Report released by Apartment List.

During the same period, the national average fell by 0.3%. This means Boston's decline was more than five times greater than the national average.

This report ranked Boston 99th in monthly rent growth among the 100 largest cities in the U.S., which is nearly the lowest position, and I was a bit surprised by the numbers.

Currently, the median rent in Boston is $2,359 for a one-bedroom and $2,484 for a two-bedroom. The overall median value comes out to $2,453.

Comparing with summer numbers shows a clearer trend. In the July report from the same organization, the one-bedroom was $2,396 and the two-bedroom was $2,523.

In that time, the one-bedroom has decreased by $37 and the two-bedroom by $39. While this isn't a significant drop, the direction is clearly downward.

However, it's hard to say that rents have become cheaper. Compared to a year ago, they are still 1.6% higher, and the increase is greater than the Massachusetts state average of 0.8%.

The national median rent is $1,215 for a one-bedroom and $1,369 for a two-bedroom. Boston remains a market that is 77.3% more expensive than the national average.

Fall declines are not unusual in Boston. After the moving season ends on September 1, the demand from students and new tenants typically decreases, leading to a pause in rent increases.

However, this year, the adjustment has been noticeably larger than in other cities. If you are about to sign a lease, now might be a time to negotiate a bit.

There are also significant differences among surrounding cities. The most expensive area within the metro is Cambridge, where the median rent is $3,122, and the annual growth rate is the highest at 3.2%.

The cheapest area is Lowell at $1,781. Framingham has seen a 1.5% decrease over the past year, marking the lowest growth rate in the metro.

If you don't have to insist on Cambridge for school or work, there are quite a few options available. I recommend considering both commute times and rent differences.

The situation is different when it comes to home prices. October sales statistics typically come out after mid-November, so the most recent numbers available are from September.

According to the Massachusetts Association of Realtors (MAR), the median sale price for single-family homes in September was $670,000, which is a 2.4% increase from a year ago. The number of single-family home sales also rose by 4.8%.

The median sale price for condos was $525,000, which is nearly the same as last year. However, the number of transactions decreased by 6.4%.

New listings increased by 7.6% for single-family homes and 6% for condos. With more people putting their homes on the market, buyers have a bit more choice.

Looking specifically at downtown Boston condos, the picture is quite different. According to Bassick Advisors, the median price for Boston condos as of September 27 was $1,060,000, which is a 10.4% increase from last year.

During the same period, the number of transactions was 1,825, which is the same as last year. This suggests that while the volume of transactions remained steady, higher-priced properties were sold more frequently.

By neighborhood, downtown transactions increased by 42%, Seaport by 23%, and Beacon Hill by 22%. Conversely, South End decreased by 14% and South Boston by 10%.

While the overall condo market remains stable, the median price for downtown Boston condos has risen by double digits. It's important to remember that even within the same type of condo, the market can vary significantly based on location and price range.

From an investment perspective, this difference is crucial. If purchase prices remain high while rents decline, rental yields will thin out, so if you're looking to invest for rental income, you should reassess your calculations conservatively.

Interest rates cannot be overlooked either. According to Freddie Mac, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate on October 22 was 7.32%, down slightly from 7.40% the previous week.

With rates in the 7% range, the monthly payment burden is quite significant for the same house. This is why rents are decreasing while the threshold for home purchases remains high.

In summary, rents in October have definitely weakened compared to September, while home prices for single-family homes have seen a slight increase based on September data, and the overall condo market remains stable. Rents and home sales are moving at different speeds.

If you are about to renew your lease, I would recommend checking the surrounding market rates before signing. As we enter the off-season, there is a basis for requesting a slight reduction or freeze.

If you are considering purchasing, there doesn't seem to be a pressing reason to rush. With more listings available, it's not too late to wait for the trend in interest rates and the October sales statistics before making a move.

The numbers in this article are based on the most recent data available at the time of posting. Rents are from October, sales are from September, and interest rates are from the week of October 22, and we will compare again once the October sales statistics are released.