
There are more possibilities than I thought? But looking closely, it just makes me chuckle, haha.
Let's start from the beginning.
Uzbekistan.
It says we need to either draw or win by less than 6 points.
But even if Uzbekistan wins, they are eliminated. Of course, it's the World Cup, so they won't play half-heartedly. As a national team, they will give their best until the end.
But if they can be eliminated even if they win, how much motivation do they have to play their hearts out?
Moreover, many evaluations suggest that their overall strength is weaker than that of the Democratic Republic of the Congo.
The second scenario is even funnier.
Austria and Algeria.
The chart states that Austria needs to win or Algeria cannot win by more than two goals, but the more important point is just one.
If they draw, both will advance to the Round of 32.
So, if it's 0-0 until the 70th minute?
If I were the coach, I would say, "Hey, don't push it. Don't risk advancing unnecessarily."
If they attack recklessly and concede a goal, they might get frustrated and heated, and one of them could end up going home. Who would take that risk?
Those who have watched soccer for a long time have seen such matches quite a bit.
Stalling, passing the ball around, and ending the game without major collisions.
The third scenario is the hardest.
Ghana needs to beat Croatia. This is also a serious upset. The success rate is about 20%.
In the end, two out of these three need to happen, but when you break them down one by one, they seem unlikely.
Some still say the chance of reaching the Round of 32 is 30%, but honestly, I don't believe that number.
In a game where both teams can smile if they draw, would they really play their hearts out?
The likelihood of a team that is already eliminated showing crazier performance than usual is also low.
If you're a fan, it's right to keep hope and cheer until the end.
But looking at this chart rationally, I can't help but think.
"Is this... just a false hope?"
I believe that Korea's chances of reaching the Round of 32 are not 30%, but rather at a level where we are waiting for a miracle.


HaSalon
LimeStory






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