As of 2026, the median home sale price in Arlington, Texas, is about $316,000, which is a decrease of approximately 3.0% compared to the previous year. The figures indicate that the market is cooling rapidly. Arlington, a key city in the Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) metropolitan area, which had been experiencing a surge since the pandemic, entered a correction phase starting in the second half of 2024, and this trend has continued into the first half of 2026.

Looking at the price distribution data, there are differences based on the source. According to Zillow, the average home value is $316,890, while Redfin's February 2026 report shows a median sale price of $320,000, reflecting a 3.1% decrease year-over-year. In contrast, Redfin's data from January of the same year indicates a price of $369,000, which can be interpreted as a variance due to seasonal factors and sample differences. Based on actual transactions, some cases have been recorded as low as $303,596. Overall, it is reasonable to consider the practical range for the median home price in Arlington to be between $300,000 and $330,000.

The inventory indicators clearly show that market power has shifted toward buyers. Currently, there are about 1,054 active listings in Arlington, with 269 new registrations per month, while the actual number of completed transactions remains at 177. There is a shortage of demand compared to supply. The Months of Inventory (MOI), which indicates how long it would take to sell the current inventory, is at 4.0 months, approaching the balanced market benchmark of 5-6 months. About 30.2% of listings have a history of price reductions, and the Sale-to-List Ratio is 97.1%, indicating that buyers are negotiating an average discount of around 3%.

The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate as of June 2026 is in the range of 6.8-7.0%, which has slightly decreased from the peak levels of 2022-2023 but remains a significant factor increasing the burden on buyers. Arlington is well-located between Dallas and Fort Worth, with excellent transportation access and infrastructure such as the Texas Live entertainment complex and AT&T Stadium; however, the high property tax rate (effective rate of about 1.9-2.2%) significantly raises the actual holding costs, which should always be factored in.

• Median Sale Price (Zillow average): Approximately $316,890 (as of 2026)
• Year-over-Year Change Rate: -3.0%
• Median Sale Price (Redfin, February 2026): $320,000 (-3.1% YoY)
• Active Inventory: Approximately 1,054 listings
• Months of Inventory (MOI): 4.0 months
• Price Reduction Listing Ratio: 30.2%
• Sale-to-List Ratio: 97.1%
• 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate: Approximately 6.8-7.0% (first half of 2026)

In conclusion, the Arlington housing market in 2026 is clearly in a correction phase. The simultaneous decline in median prices, increase in inventory, and surge in price-reduced listings suggest that the market environment is more suitable for long-term holding for residential purposes rather than short-term speculative investment. When Arlington's own data varies by source, DFW metropolitan data was also referenced. (Sources: Zillow, Redfin, Ocity Real Estate, Movoto, Collective Living Co., as of 2026 / This article does not constitute investment or legal advice, and it is recommended to consult a professional before making any actual contracts.)