The reason Texas is a Republican stronghold is due to its historical and cultural conservative tendencies, low taxes and deregulation policies of the Republican Party, and the political cohesion created by evangelical church networks. However, considering the recent acceleration of demographic changes centered around major cities and the gradual shift in the political landscape, it is worth observing whether Texas will remain an 'absolute Republican stronghold' in the long term or gradually transform into a 'swing state'.

Demographic and Historical Aspects

• Traditional Conservative Stance: Texas has a deep-rooted sentiment of 'pioneering spirit' and 'minimal government intervention'. For a long time, the combination of resource-based industries like oil and gas and the Southern culture of large landowners has allowed conservative forces supporting the Republican Party to exert strong influence.
• Political Realignment: Until the 1960s and 70s, Texas had many politicians affiliated with the Democratic Party, unlike the 'Deep South', but after the Reagan era, the trend of Republican dominance accelerated. The Republican Party has established a system by occupying key state government positions (governor, state legislature).

Policies and State Government Operations

• Low Taxes and Small Government: Texas has no state income tax. The low government intervention and business-friendly policies resonate well with conservatives. The Republican Party has rallied business and conservative voters with the message that "deregulation and low taxes drive economic growth".
• Second Amendment (Opposition to Gun Control): Texas has a deeply rooted culture that advocates for gun ownership. The Republican Party actively supports the right to own firearms, gaining support from residents concerned about gun control.

Religious and Cultural Factors

• Evangelical Churches: Texas has a significant number of large churches and evangelical Christians. The Republican Party's conservative stance on social issues like abortion and same-sex marriage solidifies its support from the religious community.
• Traditional Values: The culture that places high value on family, faith, and individual freedom aligns with the "conservative camp".

Possibility of Change?

• Trend of Population Influx: Recently, there has been an increase in the population moving to Texas from progressive areas like California. There is also a gradual strengthening of Democratic support, particularly in major cities like Austin.
• Urban vs. Suburban and Rural: Major urban areas like Houston, Dallas, San Antonio, and Austin are gradually increasing their Democratic support, while suburban and rural areas still maintain Republican dominance, balancing the overall picture. It remains to be seen when this balance might be disrupted.