Donald Trump's re-election is expected to bring various changes to the U.S. economy. We will examine the stock market and real estate market, focusing on key economic policies and outlooks.


Key Economic Policies

  1. Strengthening Tariff Policy
    The stance to raise tariffs on foreign goods to protect U.S. industries will be strengthened. This tariff policy is expected to be particularly prominent in trade with China, and price increases for some imports are anticipated.

  2. Changes in Tax Policy
    There is a high possibility that tax cuts will be extended or additional tax reductions will be introduced. This could have a positive impact on corporate investment and economic growth.

  3. Deregulation
    There will be a stronger movement to ease regulations in the financial and industrial sectors to promote corporate activities. This could increase corporate profits, but concerns about financial stability also exist.


Economic Outlook

  • Economic Growth Rate
    The economic growth rate for 2025 is expected to be 2.5%. This will be attributed to increased corporate activity and restored consumer confidence due to tax cuts and deregulation.

  • Inflation and Interest Rates
    Due to tariff policies, import prices are likely to rise, and inflationary pressures from economic growth are expected to increase. Consequently, the Federal Reserve may raise interest rates.

  • Dollar Value
    The relative strength of the U.S. economy is expected to sustain a strong dollar. This may burden export companies but will contribute to stabilizing import prices.


Stock Market

President Trump's economic policies are favorable to businesses and may positively impact the stock market.

  • Large-Cap Growth: Tax cuts and deregulation are expected to lead to increased profits for large corporations, positively affecting major indices like the S&P 500.
  • Strength in Energy and Defense Stocks: If the trend of energy independence and increased defense budgets continues, related stocks will show strength.
  • Technology Stocks: Some tech companies may be affected by the strengthened tariff policy, but AI and data-driven technological innovations will continue to play a significant role in the market.

Real Estate Market

  • Housing Market:
    Due to the economic growth trend of the Trump administration, housing prices are likely to continue rising in some areas. However, anticipated interest rate increases may impact purchasing power.
  • Commercial Real Estate:
    Deregulation and economic revitalization policies will also positively affect the commercial real estate market. Demand for industrial properties and logistics warehouses is expected to increase.
  • Rental Market:
    Due to a shortage of housing supply and population growth, rental costs are likely to continue rising.

President Trump's economic policies may provide new opportunities for the stock and real estate markets, but they may also increase uncertainty. The balance of economic growth, inflation, and interest rate changes will be crucial factors influencing the future of the U.S. economy.